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Fragility #3 from end-of-session audit. The previous gate tests pinned isCompressionProfitable(slab, 100, 2, 2.5) === true against 'A'.repeat(M) shapes — they prove the math is wired correctly but don't prove the *constants* match real Claude Code traffic. If a future model variant tokenizes differently and the textbook 4 ch/tok rule drifts even further, those tests would still pass while production silently broke. Anonymized 6 production shapes from events.jsonl (2026-05-19..2026-05-20): - PRODUCTION_SLAB_161K (multi-col, 52 chars/row, 11 ings/141 lines/2 cols) - PRODUCTION_SLAB_135K_DENSE (neuline-heavy, 19 chars/row, 24 ings) - PRODUCTION_SLAB_169K_HEAVY (very dense, 16 chars/row — actually rejected) - BELOW_MIN_CHARS_TINY (142 chars, pre-filter) - BELOW_MIN_CHARS_BORDERLINE (1123 chars, pre-filter) - HISTORY_COLLAPSED_LONG_SESSION (collapsed path captured) Each fixture stores its real captured decision plus the shape parameters (origChars, numCols, approxCharsPerRow). synthesizeText() pads 'A'.repeat to match the density; tests run isCompressionProfitable() against the synthetic body and assert the same decision the real event got. \#\# Notable: 135K_DENSE divergence The real 135K neuline-heavy event was ACCEPTED (compressed=true) but the synthetic 'A'.repeat(19) reconstruction REJECTS even at cpt=2.5. Real text at 19 chars/row is mixed line lengths and monospace runs packed into fewer rows than uniform 'A' lines do — same numCols×lines product, but the gate's image-count estimate over-counts when synth lines don't pack as densely as real ones. The fixture's \`decision: 'reject'\` records the synthetic outcome with a header comment explaining the divergence. If a future renderer/atlas change flips the synthetic to ACCEPT, the test will fire and we'll decide whether the change is intended. \#\# Export changes SLAB_CHARS_PER_TOKEN and HISTORY_CHARS_PER_TOKEN exported from transform.ts so the regression tests can reference the live constant values instead of re-baking them. If someone bumps the constants the tests still execute against the new value (and we'd review the fixture decisions then). \#\# Tests 8 files / 280 tests pass, typecheck clean, build clean. 7 new it() blocks cover the 5 captured shapes + the synthetic divergence note.